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Example firm

The Whale

One client became a third of revenue, then started to drift.

Now, Oct 2026
$791K · 43%
If nothing changes, Oct 2027
$869K · 4%
With the Growth Plan, Oct 2027
$1.04M · 19%
Extra profit, next 12 months
+$697K

Monthly revenue · Growth Rate. The healthy range for Growth Rate is 10% to 35%.

What went wrong

One client grew to be a third of revenue, and from mid-July its leaders started missing meetings. Revenue at risk rose from 11% to 47%. Net revenue retention still read a healthy 102%, because the client was still paying. That's why it's a lagging warning, and why the leading signs matter.

What the Dashboard showed
Profitable Client Retention, The Whale. Revenue at risk rose from 11% to 47% as the largest client's engagement slipped.

Profitable Client Retention, The Whale. Revenue at risk rose from 11% to 47% as the largest client's engagement slipped.

If nothing changes

The whale keeps drifting. At the usual rate for at-risk clients, about $59K a month of its work is gone by October 2027, and Growth Rate falls to about 4% as the June expansion drops out of the window. Large Client Dependence falls only because the biggest client is leaving.

The levers to pull, and why

  • Profitable Client Retention. Almost half the revenue is at risk, most of it the whale. Re-engaging its leadership protects the firm's largest source of profit.
  • Client Results. Outcome reviews with the top 10 clients catch the next drift before it becomes revenue at risk.
  • Ideal Client Share. Without the whale's expansion the firm grows only about 10% a year. Adding ideal-profile clients is how it grows and shrinks its dependence at the same time.

With the Growth Plan

Revenue about $1.04M a month by October 2027 instead of $869K, Growth Rate near 19% instead of 4%, and about $697K more profit over 12 months. Large Client Dependence falls to about 29% because the firm grows around the whale, not because it loses it.

Revenue: if nothing changes, and with the Growth Plan
Revenue, The Whale. If nothing changes, growth stalls near $869K a month as the whale's work drifts away. With the Growth Plan, about $1.04M.

Revenue, The Whale. If nothing changes, growth stalls near $869K a month as the whale's work drifts away. With the Growth Plan, about $1.04M.

Illustrative. Juniper Ridge Advisory is a fictional firm with a full year of modeled data, analyzed the way we analyze yours.

The tempting fix

Why not replace the whale?

It is still profitable and paying. The plan keeps it while ideal-profile clients make it a smaller share.

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